Project
Ecoclimb- Economics of climate adaptation for biodiversity conservation
As climate change increasingly threatens habitats, climate adaptation strategies have been developed to counteract the degradation of biodiversity. However, the economics behind these strategies have so far not been considered. Therefore, Ecoclimb develops ecological-economic models to analyse instruments for biodiversity conservation in terms of their ecological effectiveness and cost-effectiveness. In particular three instruments are analysed: (i) incentive payments for nature conservation maesures, (ii) compensation measures and (iii) land purchase for conservation purposes.
Project results
Climate change is a major threat to biodiversity. In order to adapt biodiversity conservation to climate change, the effects of climate change both on species and on conservation costs need to be considered. So far, however, economic aspects have hardly been considered. In Ecoclimb, integrated climate-ecological-economic models were developed to investigate the interaction of the climatic, ecological and economic systems. Using the example of conserving the large marsh grasshopper (Stethophyma grossum) in Schleswig-Holstein, it was found that protected areas need to be adapted spatially in order to remain cost-effective. In addition, the timing of conservation measures such as extensive grassland use needs to be adapted to climate change. This means that policy instruments such as agri-environment schemes need to be designed flexibly so that the necessary adjustments can be implemented.
Illustration of project results

Overview of the modelling procedure. Climate data, site-specific factors, information on the species and cost date feed into the calculation of the timing of land use, the ecological and economic model. The effectiveness and costs of different conservation measures is simulated and the optimal spatio-temporal allocation is determined.
Main Findings
- The impacts of climate change should be explicitly taken into account when designing policy instruments for species conservation.
- Flexibility in the selection of areas can increase cost-effectiveness, especially when budgets are low.
- Flexibility in the temporal allocation of conservation measures can increase cost-effectiveness.
- Climate uncertainty can be addressed by choosing robust land allocation strategies.
Flagship-Paper
Gerling, C., et al. (2021):
Cost-effective conservation in the face of climate change: combining ecological-economic modelling and climate science for the cost-effective spatio-temporal allocation of conservation measures in agricultural landscapes. Q Open 2 (1).
Gerling, C., Strum, A., Wätzold, F. (2020):
The impact of climate change on the profit-maximising timing of grassland use and conservation costs. MPRA.
Gerling, C., Wätzold, F. (2020):
An economic evaluation framework for land‐use‐based conservation policy instruments in a changing climate. Conservation Biology 35 (3): 824-833.
Leins, J. A., Banitz, T., Grimm, V., Drechsler, M. (2021):
High-resolution PVA along large environmental gradients to model the combined effects of climate change and land use timing: lessons from the large marsh grasshopper. Ecological Modelling 440: 109355.